7/10 Recap
Today was calmer than yesterday’s forecast anticipated, but still uncomfortable for those who respond to Solar Wind Speed and Electron Saturation. Good News – it looks like NOAA’s back on point with their Forecasts today and their forecasts are more positive than last night’s. Yay!
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Solar Flares were predominantly calm today, mainly staying in the B Class range with 1 C Class Solar Flare. All Sun Spots have been downgraded to capable of B or C Class Solar Flares.
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Our Geomagnetics were calm, reaching no higher than HP = 4.0. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow before the 2nd CH HSS and CME Sideswipe arrive. NOAA’s only providing a 10% chance of HP = 5 (G1) Geomagnetic Storms in middle N. America and 35% chance of HP = 6 (G2) Geomagnetic Storms in the northern U.S. states beginning 7/12 mid-morning CDT, and only briefly.
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Solar Wind Speed was our biggest antagonist today, staying mainly in the 600 km/sec range most of the day. It’s currently down in the 500 km/sec range, and should drop some more tomorrow before rising on 7/12 with the CME Sideswipe and 2nd CH HSS.
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Electron Saturation’s mainly hovering around its Alert Threshold, and should continue to do so for the next 3 days with CH HSS being the driving factor. Proton Saturation’s at Normal levels, and will likely stay there each of the coming 3 days.
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Solar Flare Conditions
B Class Solar Flares
M Class Solar Flare Watch
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 2.3 Average
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <9.0/cm3 7/9 @ 7.00p CDT, <12.0/cm3 beginning 7/10 @ 12.25a CDT, <7.0/cm3 beginning 6.03a CDT and continuing to 9.00p CDT Post
Solar Wind Speed 592 km/sec 7/9 @ 7.08p CDT, Variable between 551-640 km/sec beginning 9.42p CDT, Variable between 596-651 km/sec beginning 7/10 @ 6.16a CDT, Variable between 596-625 km/sec beginning 9.58a CDT, 567 km/sec @ 8.40p CDT and continuing to 9.00p CDT Post
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Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions
Electron Saturation >1K pfu beginning 7/10 @ 6.15a CDT and continuing to 9.00p CDT Post
Proton Saturation Agitated, but Normal
Connie Howell