8/1 Recap


It looks like the 7/27 CME missed us, according to the Solar Wind chart which says we held a steady ~280 km/sec Solar Wind Speed all day today and the fact our HP Index seldom reached HP = 1.0. NOAA’s still expecting the 7/30 CME to arrive any minute through 8/2 @ 3.00a CDT, and they’re providing a 35% chance HP = 5 (G1) Geomagnetic Storms in middle N. America, and a 50% chance HP = 6 (G2) Geomagnetic Storms in the northern U.S. states.
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Solar Flares were quiet today, staying in the B- to C-Class range, but we’re still in an M Class Solar Flare Watch.
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Electron Saturation barely rose above its Alert Threshold today and may continue to do that for the next 3 days, depending on the incoming CME.
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Proton Saturation stayed below its Alert Threshold and should continue to do that, barring any significant M Class Solar Flares.
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Solar Flare Conditions
C Class Solar Flares
M Class Solar Flare Watch
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 0.6 Average
HP = 5 (G1) Geomagnetic Storm Watch
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <5.10/cm3 All Day Solar Wind Speed ~280 km/sec All Day Solar Wind Speed >400 km/sec Watch
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Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions
Electron Saturation >1K pfu 8/1@ 11.10a-6.20p CDT
Proton Saturation 1K pfu Watch
Connie Howell