7/20 Recap

It looks like the next few days are gonna be rocky for a lot of people in one way or another. An Earth-facing Sun Spot that’s gained power in the last couple days started tossing M Class Solar Flares today. I’m not seeing any word of CMEs yet, which is good, and it’s not in the Sun-Earth Line yet, which is good, but still, it’s tossing M Class Solar Flares…
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Geomagnetics and Solar Wind Speed should be calm tomorrow and early 7/22, but the first part of the CH HSS is expected to arrive mid-morning that day, and take us up to HP = 5 (G1) Geomagnetic Storms in the afternoon through early evening. NOAA’s providing a 30% chance that middle N. America will reach HP = 5 (G1) and 70% chance that the northern U.S. states will reach HP = 6 (G2) Geomagnetic Storm conditions. We should be done with Geomagnetic Storming on 7/23, but our Solar Wind Speeds are predicted to be between 500-800 km/sec until 7/25.
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Electron Saturation’s hovering around it’s Alert Threshold and will likely continue to do that for several days. Proton Saturation’s holding steady at Normal levels.
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Solar Flare Conditions
M2.5 Solar Flare 7/20 @ 9.36a CDT from Earth-facing Sun Spot
M1.1 Solar Flare @ 2.20p CDT from Earth-facing Sun Spot
M3.4 Solar Flare @ 5.25p CDT
M Class Solar Flare Watch

Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 0.6 Average
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <4.0/cm3 7/20 @ 7.00p CDT to 11.51a CDT then rising to 9.06/cm3 @ 7.54p CDT Solar Wind Speed ~270 km/sec All Day . Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions Electron Saturation >1K pfu 7/20 @ 9.30a – 8.30p CDT
Proton Saturation Normal
Electron Saturation >1K pfu Watch
Connie Howell