8/22 Recap
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Space Weather was calmer today. 😊
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We had only C Class Solar Flares today but we’re still in range for 2 Exiting Sun Spots, 1 Sun Spot in the Sun-Earth Magnetic Line, and 3 Incoming Sun Spots that are exchanging plasma and keeping the largest of the 3 relatively active, so we’ll see how all those dynamics play out
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Our Geomagnetics were quite calm and should stay that way for several days.
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Solar Wind Speeds dropped into the 400 km/sec range overnight and should get into the 300 km/sec range tomorrow. We should stay in that range until 8/26-8/27 when the next CH HSS arrives.
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Electron Saturation is steadily hovering over its Alert Threshold, and likely will continue to do so for 3-4 more days. Proton Saturation is still at Moderate levels from yesterday’s long duration M Class Solar Flare, but the lack of additional M Class Solar Flares today caused Proton Saturation to start trending downward. What this measure does over the next few days is entirely dependent on whether or not we have additional M Class Solar Flares, and NOAA’s providing a 45% chance we will, so we’ll see…
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Solar Flare Conditions
C Class Solar Flares
M Class Solar Flare Watch
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 1.0 Average
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <4.0/cm3
Solar Wind Speed ~470 km/sec 8/21 @ 7.00p CDT, ~430 km/sec beginning 8/22 @ 12.19a CDT and continuing to 10.30p CDT Post
Solar Wind Speed >400 km/sec Warning
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Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions
Electron Saturation ~1K pfu beginning 8/20 @ 11.40a CDT and continuing to 8/22 @ 10.30p
Proton Saturation Moderate
Electron Saturation >1K pfu Warning
Connie Howell