6/16 Recap
Earth’s Space Weather continued to calm today.
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We had B Class Solar Flares, and only 1 C Class Solar Flare today. NOAA’s expecting the next 3 days will be similar, but 1 of those anticipated incoming Sun Spots is revealing itself today, so this part of the forecast may change in 2-3 days.
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It looks like the expected CME arrived around 7.00p CDT this evening. It didn’t have much impact beyond slightly raising Solar Wind Density and stabilizing Solar Wind Speed @ about 400 km/sec. There was no impact on the HP Index. NOAA’s expecting our Geomagnetic will remain calm over the next few days.
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Solar Wind Speed stayed in the 400 km/sec range. The CH HSS provided some variability, which stabilized this evening with the CME’s arrival. NOAA’s is expecting Solar Wind Speed to drop a bit more tomorrow, and they’re not expecting the incoming CH HSS to significantly impact Solar Wind Speed in 3 days.
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Electron Saturation hovered around its Alert Threshold until this evening. It looks like the CME carried off enough electrons to perhaps keep this measure suppressed tomorrow. NOAA’s expecting 1 more day where we cross Electron Saturation’s Alert Threshold before it drops below that line consistently on 6/18-6/19. Proton Saturation is still steady at Normal levels.
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Solar Flare Conditions
B Class Solar Flares
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 1.3 Average
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <9.0/cm3
Solar Wind Speed ~450 km/sec 6/15 @ 7.00p CDT, Variable between 375-450 km/sec beginning 10.15p CDT, ~400 km/sec beginning 6/16 @ 12.33p CDT
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Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions
Electron Saturation ~/>1K pfu 6/14 @ 8.10a CDT to 6/16 @ 9.30p CDT Post
Proton Saturation Normal
Electron Saturation ~/>1K pfu Watch