7/7 Recap

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Solar Flares were mainly quiet today but we did have 1 M Class Solar Flare from an Incoming Sun Spot that created quite a bit of hubbub last time it came around, so we’ll keep an eye on it as it moves across the Sun.
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Tomorrow and most of 7/9 will be calm as far as our Geomagnetics go. I left 7/9’s Geomagnetic Forecast orange for HP = 5 (G1) Geomagnetic Storms because they’re supposed to be late, very brief, and NOAA’s saying there’s a 5% chance middle N. America will reach Geomagnetic Storm levels, and the northern U.S. states only have a 20% chance of reaching that level.
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Solar Wind Speeds held pretty steady in the 400 km/sec range. They may get down into the 300 km/sec range tomorrow and most of 7/9, but are expected to get back into the 400 km/sec when the new CH HSS arrives.
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Electron Saturation is staying above its Alert Threshold rn, and it climbed enough today that I’m thinking it might get over the 10K pfu line tomorrow. It’s not expected to drop below its Alert Threshold for several days. Proton Saturation’s agitated, but staying in the Normal range. NOAA’s current forecast says it should continue to do that, as long as we stay in C Class Solar Flares.
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Solar Flare Conditions
M4.1 Solar Flare 7/7 @ 9.19a CDT from Incoming Sun Spot
M Class Solar Flare Watch
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 1.6 Average
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <5.0/cm3 All Day Solar Wind Speed ~400 km/sec 7/6 @ 7.00p CDT, ~450 km/sec beginning 7/7 @ 12.57a CDT, ~430 km/sec beginning 3.06a CDT, ~400 km/sec beginning 10.47a CDT and continuing to 7/7 @ 6.00p CDT Post . Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions Electron Saturation ~/> 1K pfu 7/5 @ 5.10p CDT and continuing to 7/7 @ 6.00p Post
Proton Saturation Normal
Electron Saturation >1K pfu Warning
Electron Saturation >10K pfu Watch
Connie Howell