8/15 recap
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It’s been a quiet couple of days in space weather. While the CH HSS did arrive yesterday, it didn’t raise Solar Wind Speeds into the 400 km/sec range and didn’t raise the HP Index above HP = 3.3. Tomorrow’s expected to be similarly quiet, and while we do have a CME expected morning CDT on 8/17, and it’s expected to take us into the 400 km/sec range in Solar Wind Speed, there’s very little chance it’ll do much to change any of the space weather features we follow. We do have 2 new Coronal Holes headed our way, and their Solar Winds are expected to arrive on 8/18. Atm forecasts are quite varied on how impactful they’ll be, so we’ll see what the forecasts have to say on that tomorrow…
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Solar Flares are staying in the B- and C-Class ranges, and should continue to do so for several more days, provided the 4 Sun Spots in the Sun-Earth Line and the 2 Sun Spots in their Farewell Volley positions maintain their current activity levels.
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Solar Flare Conditions
C Class Solar Flares
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 1.6 Average
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <6.0/cm3
Solar Wind Speed 380 km/sec 8/14 @ 7.00p CDT, ~350 km/sec beginning 8/15 @ 4.10a CDT
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Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions
Electron Saturation Low - Moderate
Proton Saturation Normal
Connie Howell