8/2 Recap
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I know most of y’all probably already know we had a CME come through today!
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It came in 2 steps, the first around 8/2 @ 6.26a CDT, taking our Solar Wind Speed from ~290 km/sec to 350 km/sec and taking our HP Index from HP = 1.0 to HP = 4.0. The 2nd step was around 10.00a CDT when Solar Wind Speed became >400 km/sec and our HP Index went from HP = 3.0 to HP = 5 (G1) Geomagnetic Storm levels. Fortunately it was short- duration. Our HP Index dropped down to HP = 3.0 @ 2.00p CDT, and our Solar Wind Speed dropped back into the 300 km/sec range about 7.00p CDT this evening. NOAA’s anticipating we may have some periodic increases in these numbers since we’ll be sitting in the CME until about noon CDT tomorrow (20% chance HP = 5 middle N. America and 55% chance HP = 6 northern U.S. states), but the following 2 days are supposed to be calm!
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Solar Flares stayed in the C Class range today and NOAA’s dropped their expectations for M Class Solar Flares to 20%, so these should be non-eventful for a few days.
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Electron Saturation stayed below its Alert Threshold, as did Proton Saturation. They both should stay in these comfortable ranges for the next 3 days.
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Solar Flare Conditions
C Class Solar Flares
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 5+ (G1) Geomagnetic Storm 8/2 @ 10.00a CDT – 2.00p CDT
HP = 6 (G2) Geomagnetic Storm 8/2 @ 11.00a – 1.00p CDT
HP = 2.0 beginning 8/2 @ 3.00p CDT
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density ~4.6/cm3 8/1 @ 7.00p CDT, < 3.0/cm3 beginning 11.30p CDT, Peaked 33.88/cm3 8/2 @ 6.43a CDT, ~20.0/cm3 beginning 10.45a CDT, 9.77/cm3 @ 8.47p CDT
Solar Wind Speed ~270 km/sec 8/1 @ 7.00p CDT, ~290 km/sec beginning 10.58p CDT, 343 km/sec 8/2 @ 6.30a CDT, 417 km/sec @ 11.51a CDT, Peaked 429 km/sec @ 12.22p CDT, 364 km/sec @ 7.04p CDT
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Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions
Electron Saturation Normal - Moderate
Proton Saturation Normal
Connie Howell