9/4 recap
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Today was fairly calm with Solar Wind Speeds in the 300 km/sec range and a low HP Index. We’ll continue to enjoy these conditions until sometime on 9/7 into 9/8 when a CME and small CH HSS are expected. NOAA’s currently saying we won’t experience a Geomagnetic Storm when those arrive. I expect that forecast will change tomorrow.
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Electron Saturation’s still hovering around its Alert Threshold. It’ll likely continue that at least 1 more, possibly two. The incoming CME might drop it below its Alert Threshold.
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We’ve got a cluster of 4 tightly spaced Sun Spots incoming. One of them tossed an M Class Solar Flare today. All of them are currently listed as capable of C Class Solar Flares, but they’re already tossing CMEs with those C Class Solar Flares, so it looks like this gang is going to provide some interest over the next 10 days.
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Solar Flare Conditions
M1.2 Solar Flare 9/4 @ 2.53a CDT from Incoming Sun Spot
M Class Solar Flare Watch
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Geomagnetic Conditions
HP = 1.6 Average
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Solar Wind Conditions
Solar Wind Density <6.0/cm3 All Day
Solar Wind Speed ~380 km/sec 9/3 @ 7.00p CDT, ~340 km/sec beginning 9/4 @ 12.34p CDT
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Electron and Proton Saturation Conditions
Electron Saturation ~1K pfu 8/31 @ 4.00a CDT to 9/4 @ 8.30p CDT Post
Proton Saturation Normal
Electron Saturation ~1K pfu Warning and Watch
Connie Howell