Solar Event
Arrival Time for CME
There has been quite the confusion about the arrival time of this CME! Here it is explicitly broken down by popular time zones. For North Americans, please note that when I say “Sunday night” in my posts, this INCLUDES Monday morning. Sunday night = June […]
ANOTHER CME IS COMING
The sun just launched another CME toward Earth. Minor (G1) to strong (G3) geomagnetic storms are possible when it arrives on June 8th. If the storm becomes strong, naked-eye auroras could spread across much of Europe, Canada, and at least a dozen northern-tier US states. […]
A fast blast from the sun
Just when everyone thinks the recent set of solar storm fizzles were all we were going to have this week, WHAM! Region 4461 fires a massive blast and launches a fast moving solar storm towards Earth. Looking closely at the region just before the eruption, […]
Solar Storm Update 6/7
The NASA and NOAA model prediction runs show two possibilities: a fast, near direct hit (early June 😎 and a slower, near flanking blow (mid-day June 😎. It all depends upon how the coming storm interacts with the solar wind on its way to Earth. […]
NOAA Update from Vince Ledvina
Here we go! NOAA has just released their model of the M1.8 CME, and impact is forecasted for around 11 UT on Sunday, June 8. This is now late on Sunday night/early Monday morning, but all models have around a +/- 7 hr uncertainty. There […]
6/7: Aurora Alert!
A strong solar storm could bring the northern lights to much of the U.S. tomorrow night (Sunday, June 7). NOAA has issued a G3 (“strong”) geomagnetic storm watch for June 8. If it pans out, the aurora may be visible across the northern states and […]
Aurora show possible
Here is the latest ensemble of NASA M2M ENLIL model runs. Impact looks earlier than NOAA SWPC’s prediction. This scenario would favor NA timezones since a CME hitting close to 0 UT June 8 would essentially be nightfall for a lot of the continent. The […]